Oscar Updates: Picture, Directors, Actresses, Animated Features

I'm guessing that the Best Picture category has 7 very solid bets now: The Social Network, The King's Speech, 127 Hours, The Kids Are All Right, Toy Story 3, The Fighter and Inception)  But those last 3 spots could be quite volatile considering so many of the films in question haven't properly opened and could be boosted or shunned by next month's avalanche of top ten lists & precursor prizes. So here's a poll for you.

Perhaps the wisdom of crowds can clear up the fog.

poll by twiigs.com

Over in the Best Actress category, I don't think it's as "deep" in terms of competition as some do and I explain why over there. It'd be fun to have greats like Tilda & Michelle in more of the conversation, but unless precursors bite, they're both doomed (for this year at least). I see only 7 women truly in play for shortlisting. How is that 'deep?' The following 5 women totally need precursors to have any hope of dislodging someone in the top 7.

Don't you think?

Also updated: Best Director (is this lineup too "hip?"), Best Foreign Film (will Turkey get its first nomination?),  Best Supporting Actress (I'm really starting to worry for Jacki Weaver. Are they watching those screeners? And will the precursors give AMPAS full speed ahead on both ladies in The Fighter?), Best Animated and Documentary Features (the official finalists list).