- Danny Boyle, Slumdog Millionaire
- David Fincher, The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
- Ron Howard, Frost/Nixon
- Chris Nolan, The Dark Knight
- Gus Van Sant, Milk
The DGA is the single best predictor each year of Oscar's Best Picture lineup --I've been predicting the same five for quite some time now but we didn't really need this reminder. It's proved to be a predictable five. It's the acting categories that have some doubt/action. It is interesting to note that the DGA don't do quite as well in predicting the eventual Director nominees. The DGA has thousands of members whereas the Academy's directors branch has but 374. The latter is a far more elite group so it's understandable that the DGA tilts mainstream. Oscar will sometimes veer from the DGA choices in order to honor smaller critical champs and/or world reknowned auteurs (Woody Allen, David Lynch, Pedro Almodovar or Mike Leigh have all had more luck with Oscar than with the DGA). If Oscar strays from the DGA list this year it could be for Mike Leigh again (Happy-Go-Lucky) or maybe Darren Aronofsky (The Wrestler)... but you never really know about that fifth spot. I mean... do we really have to give Ron Howard another shot at the naked gold man?
Today we also got the official announcement of the Cinema Audio Society's nominees (broken by Awards Daily yesterday) who chose these movies as the tops in sound mixing:
The CAS's choices usually line up with Oscars to the tune of 4 out of 5... most vulnerable to a snub in two weeks time is probably Quantum of Solace since Oscar doesn't like Bond movies much. You can see the history I charted of their 007 indifference in this post from 2007. No Bond movie has been nominated in the sound categories since 1971 though the series did win one of its only two Oscars in sound, the sound effects of Goldfinger (1964) to be precise.
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